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Trades-Own-Strategy Certification

This system has earned Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) Certification. This means that the manager of this system trades his own strategy in a real-life, funded brokerage account.

Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) Certification Details
Certification process started 01/12/2024
Most recent certification approved 1/12/24 13:57 ET
Trades at broker Israel Interactive Trading
Scaling percentage used 100%
# trading signals issued by system since certification 1,917
# trading signals executed in manager's Israel Interactive Trading account 1,917
Percent signals followed since 01/12/2024 100%
This information was last updated 11/22/24 13:59 ET

Warning: System trading results are still hypothetical.

Even though the system developer is currently trading his own system in a real-life brokerage account, the trading results presented on this Web site must still be regarded as purely hypothetical results. This is because (among other reasons) the system developer may not have traded all signals, particularly those that occurred before 01/12/2024, and the system developer's results may not match the system results presented here. In addition, not all subscribers have received the same trades or prices as the system manager has. For these reasons, and others, it is extremely important you remember the following:

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

You may be interested to learn more technical details about how Collective2 calculates the hypothetical results you see on this web site.

Coinstar

Created by: MATANZAGURI MATANZAGURI
Started: 01/2024
Stocks
Last trade: Today

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $10.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

9.3%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(33.0%)
Max Drawdown
924
Num Trades
37.4%
Win Trades
1.1 : 1
Profit Factor
45.5%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and C2 Israel commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2024+5.7%(3.6%)+11.2%(12%)(4.2%)(1.9%)(2.9%)(6.5%)+5.3%+3.2%+18.1%      +9.3%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 1,914 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. To see live brokerage data, select Show AutoTrade Data, and click on a Live AutoTrade Indicator symbol.

Show AutoTrade data Hide AutoTrade data
Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQuantAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
11/19/24 11:33 TXRH TEXAS ROADHOUSE SHORT 35 194.13 11/22 9:30 193.25 n/a $29
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.76
11/15/24 9:35 GRMN GARMIN SHORT 30 211.03 11/22 9:30 209.80 n/a $36
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.50
11/21/24 9:35 NVDA NVIDIA LONG 70 147.64 11/21 10:31 140.94 0.74%
Trade id #150141265
Max drawdown($485)
Time11/21/24 10:30
Quant open70
Worst price140.70
Drawdown as % of equity-0.74%
 ($473)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.50
11/20/24 10:39 FICO FAIR ISAAC SHORT 3 2245.20 11/20 10:56 2266.20 0.12%
Trade id #150132587
Max drawdown($78)
Time11/20/24 10:51
Quant open3
Worst price2271.42
Drawdown as % of equity-0.12%
 ($63)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.08
11/11/24 9:30 MGA MAGNA INTERNATIONAL LONG 139 43.59 11/20 9:30 42.49 0.26%
Trade id #150053512
Max drawdown($172)
Time11/20/24 9:30
Quant open139
Worst price42.35
Drawdown as % of equity-0.26%
 ($156)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.55
11/15/24 9:34 HOOD ROBINHOOD MARKETS INC SHORT 200 31.45 11/18 9:30 33.00 0.62%
Trade id #150095012
Max drawdown($384)
Time11/18/24 9:30
Quant open200
Worst price33.37
Drawdown as % of equity-0.62%
 ($315)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.10
11/11/24 9:33 IPAR INTER PARFUMS LONG 47 129.56 11/15 13:40 125.34 0.32%
Trade id #150053936
Max drawdown($196)
Time11/15/24 13:39
Quant open47
Worst price125.37
Drawdown as % of equity-0.32%
 ($199)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.20
8/29/24 9:32 NOW SERVICENOW LONG 7 832.94 11/15 10:14 1007.63 0.19%
Trade id #149094652
Max drawdown($97)
Time9/6/24 0:00
Quant open7
Worst price818.98
Drawdown as % of equity-0.19%
 $1,223
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.18
11/13/24 9:30 AMZN AMAZON.COM LONG 50 209.77 11/15 9:34 205.89 0.33%
Trade id #150074014
Max drawdown($213)
Time11/15/24 9:34
Quant open50
Worst price205.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.33%
 ($197)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.50
11/13/24 9:51 NET CLOUDFLARE INC LONG 63 95.38 11/15 9:30 90.59 0.52%
Trade id #150075005
Max drawdown($338)
Time11/15/24 9:30
Quant open63
Worst price90.01
Drawdown as % of equity-0.52%
 ($303)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.61
9/27/24 11:46 TDY TELEDYNE TECHNOLOGIES LONG 14 438.92 11/15 9:30 471.62 0.17%
Trade id #149525793
Max drawdown($96)
Time9/30/24 0:00
Quant open14
Worst price432.05
Drawdown as % of equity-0.17%
 $458
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.36
11/4/24 14:45 TSLA TESLA INC. LONG 50 244.60 11/14 9:59 321.13 0.23%
Trade id #149965623
Max drawdown($135)
Time11/4/24 15:36
Quant open50
Worst price241.89
Drawdown as % of equity-0.23%
 $3,825
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.50
11/11/24 9:31 ODD ODDITY TECH LTD. CLASS A LONG 135 44.49 11/13 14:57 44.28 0.08%
Trade id #150053737
Max drawdown($53)
Time11/13/24 14:55
Quant open135
Worst price44.10
Drawdown as % of equity-0.08%
 ($32)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.45
11/11/24 10:29 TXRH TEXAS ROADHOUSE SHORT 35 196.37 11/13 11:16 199.56 0.22%
Trade id #150054931
Max drawdown($149)
Time11/13/24 10:44
Quant open35
Worst price200.64
Drawdown as % of equity-0.22%
 ($113)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.90
11/6/24 9:30 NRG NRG ENERGY LONG 65 91.70 11/11 13:36 94.33 0.09%
Trade id #150007216
Max drawdown($56)
Time11/6/24 11:38
Quant open65
Worst price90.84
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
 $169
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.65
10/11/24 9:44 AMZN AMAZON.COM LONG 50 188.17 11/11 9:52 206.73 0.4%
Trade id #149637621
Max drawdown($223)
Time10/23/24 0:00
Quant open50
Worst price183.69
Drawdown as % of equity-0.40%
 $926
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.50
10/14/24 11:16 SQ BLOCK INC LONG 85 71.02 11/8 9:35 70.43 0.25%
Trade id #149653114
Max drawdown($158)
Time11/8/24 9:35
Quant open85
Worst price69.15
Drawdown as % of equity-0.25%
 ($52)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.16
9/17/24 9:30 ABNB AIRBNB INC. CLASS A COMMON STOCK LONG 50 119.47 11/8 9:30 133.52 n/a $702
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.28
11/6/24 9:30 IRDM IRIDIUM COMMUNICATIONS LONG 200 30.37 11/7 12:54 29.25 0.35%
Trade id #150007110
Max drawdown($228)
Time11/7/24 12:54
Quant open200
Worst price29.23
Drawdown as % of equity-0.35%
 ($230)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.10
11/6/24 9:30 OPEN OPENDOOR TECHNOLOGIES INC LONG 1,500 1.96 11/6 10:00 1.81 0.42%
Trade id #150007204
Max drawdown($253)
Time11/6/24 10:00
Quant open1,500
Worst price1.79
Drawdown as % of equity-0.42%
 ($261)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $38.25
10/9/24 14:34 JKHY JACK HENRY & ASSOCIATES LONG 22 181.75 11/6 9:34 180.28 0.1%
Trade id #149620324
Max drawdown($57)
Time11/6/24 9:34
Quant open22
Worst price179.13
Drawdown as % of equity-0.10%
 ($33)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.56
11/4/24 10:29 HASI HA SUSTAINABLE INFRASTRUCTURE CAPITAL INC LONG 170 35.64 11/6 9:30 34.28 0.58%
Trade id #149958627
Max drawdown($352)
Time11/6/24 9:30
Quant open170
Worst price33.57
Drawdown as % of equity-0.58%
 ($235)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.34
11/5/24 12:40 GOOGL ALPHABET INC CLASS A LONG 60 170.20 11/5 15:52 169.52 0.08%
Trade id #149988950
Max drawdown($47)
Time11/5/24 15:52
Quant open60
Worst price169.42
Drawdown as % of equity-0.08%
 ($44)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.51
10/30/24 9:30 GOOGL ALPHABET INC CLASS A SHORT 40 181.43 11/5 12:40 170.15 0.01%
Trade id #149892502
Max drawdown($5)
Time10/30/24 9:33
Quant open40
Worst price181.58
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
 $449
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.00
8/29/24 10:44 GEV GE VERNOVA INC LONG 31 190.81 11/4 9:33 294.36 0.19%
Trade id #149096407
Max drawdown($101)
Time9/3/24 0:00
Quant open31
Worst price187.55
Drawdown as % of equity-0.19%
 $3,209
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.80
10/31/24 15:31 ACGL ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LONG 60 99.34 11/1 13:01 96.77 0.26%
Trade id #149923660
Max drawdown($154)
Time11/1/24 12:58
Quant open60
Worst price96.77
Drawdown as % of equity-0.26%
 ($156)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.53
8/19/24 9:33 MTCH MATCH GROUP LONG 170 35.72 10/31 13:58 36.28 0.39%
Trade id #148951778
Max drawdown($200)
Time9/11/24 0:00
Quant open170
Worst price34.54
Drawdown as % of equity-0.39%
 $92
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.34
8/15/24 9:51 IT GARTNER LONG 12 482.75 10/31 11:06 511.31 0.14%
Trade id #148925172
Max drawdown($72)
Time8/22/24 0:00
Quant open12
Worst price476.68
Drawdown as % of equity-0.14%
 $343
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.31
9/24/24 9:46 AUR AURORA INNOVATION INC. CLASS A LONG 800 5.53 10/31 9:51 5.30 0.34%
Trade id #149492119
Max drawdown($201)
Time10/31/24 9:51
Quant open800
Worst price5.28
Drawdown as % of equity-0.34%
 ($214)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $27.75
9/12/24 9:49 ADI ANALOG DEVICES LONG 27 219.55 10/31 9:50 222.08 0.01%
Trade id #149369877
Max drawdown($6)
Time9/12/24 10:08
Quant open27
Worst price219.31
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
 $67
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.69
Next

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    1/4/2024
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $58,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    323.1
  • Age
    11 months ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks
  • # Trades
    924
  • # Profitable
    346
  • % Profitable
    37.40%
  • Avg trade duration
    6.6 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    33.02%
  • drawdown period
    March 28, 2024 - Sept 06, 2024
  • Cumul. Return
    17.0%
  • Avg win
    $292.64
  • Avg loss
    $155.74
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $3,230
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $13,707
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.13:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    0.52
  • Sortino Ratio
    0.82
  • Calmar Ratio
    0.901
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    -9.88%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.53340
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    27.31%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    19.2%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    7.20%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    n/a
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.74%
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.170%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    1.00%
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    23.7%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    848
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    1
  • Popularity
  • Performance-weighted percentile
    941
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    777
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    Yes
  • TOS percent
    100%
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $156
  • Avg Win
    $293
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $90,017.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    11
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $101,252.000
  • # Winners
    346
  • Num Months Winners
    5
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    814
  • AUM
  • AUM (AutoTrader live capital)
    188581
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    578
  • % Winners
    37.5%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    9458.83
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    157.65
  • Avg Trade Length
    6.6 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    1
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    2.09
  • Daily leverage (max)
    4.47
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    -0.04
  • Beta
    1.27
  • Treynor Index
    0.04
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.00
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.66
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.00
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    -32.228
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.262
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.264
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    -0.078
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.21077
  • SD
    0.39586
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.53244
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.47292
  • df
    7.00000
  • t
    0.43474
  • p
    0.33842
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.90183
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.93010
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.94028
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.88612
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    0.93143
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    2.83619
  • Upside part of mean
    0.64179
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.43102
  • Upside SD
    0.29935
  • Downside SD
    0.22629
  • N nonnegative terms
    4.00000
  • N negative terms
    4.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    8.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.34116
  • Mean of criterion
    0.21077
  • SD of predictor
    0.16578
  • SD of criterion
    0.39586
  • Covariance
    0.05802
  • r
    0.88408
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    2.11101
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.50941
  • Mean Square Error
    0.03993
  • DF error
    6.00000
  • t(b)
    4.63381
  • p(b)
    0.00178
  • t(a)
    -1.75715
  • p(a)
    0.93530
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.99627
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    3.22576
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.21881
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.19998
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.09984
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.50941
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.14174
  • SD
    0.39192
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.36166
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.32122
  • df
    7.00000
  • t
    0.29529
  • p
    0.38817
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -2.05846
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.75674
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -2.08512
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.72757
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    0.58318
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    2.46813
  • Upside part of mean
    0.59987
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.45813
  • Upside SD
    0.27749
  • Downside SD
    0.24305
  • N nonnegative terms
    4.00000
  • N negative terms
    4.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    8.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.32416
  • Mean of criterion
    0.14174
  • SD of predictor
    0.16247
  • SD of criterion
    0.39192
  • Covariance
    0.05684
  • r
    0.89261
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    2.15315
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.55623
  • Mean Square Error
    0.03642
  • DF error
    6.00000
  • t(b)
    4.84971
  • p(b)
    0.00143
  • t(a)
    -2.02636
  • p(a)
    0.95544
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.06677
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    3.23953
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.22790
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.11545
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.06583
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.55623
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.15994
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.19804
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.08360
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.15256
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    8.00000
  • Minimum
    0.84351
  • Quartile 1
    0.95218
  • Median
    1.01524
  • Quartile 3
    1.09363
  • Maximum
    1.18995
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.87978
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.98120
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.05604
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.16255
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.14146
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    1.00000
  • Minimum
    0.23229
  • Quartile 1
    0.23229
  • Median
    0.23229
  • Quartile 3
    0.23229
  • Maximum
    0.23229
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.00000
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.17961
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.18489
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    0.79593
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    0.93360
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.26276
  • SD
    0.31646
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.83032
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.82696
  • df
    186.00000
  • t
    0.70148
  • p
    0.47432
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.49226
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.15070
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.49450
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.14843
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.33924
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.30528
  • Upside part of mean
    1.82573
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.56297
  • Upside SD
    0.24775
  • Downside SD
    0.19620
  • N nonnegative terms
    99.00000
  • N negative terms
    88.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    187.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.31565
  • Mean of criterion
    0.26276
  • SD of predictor
    0.14089
  • SD of criterion
    0.31646
  • Covariance
    0.02225
  • r
    0.49891
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.12059
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.09100
  • Mean Square Error
    0.07563
  • DF error
    185.00000
  • t(b)
    7.82993
  • p(b)
    0.19611
  • t(a)
    -0.27676
  • p(a)
    0.51295
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.83824
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.40294
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.73930
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.55740
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.23449
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.09095
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.21358
  • SD
    0.31297
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.68242
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.67967
  • df
    186.00000
  • t
    0.57653
  • p
    0.47888
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.63940
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.00256
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.64130
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.00064
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.07045
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.00182
  • Upside part of mean
    1.79606
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.58248
  • Upside SD
    0.24040
  • Downside SD
    0.19952
  • N nonnegative terms
    99.00000
  • N negative terms
    88.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    187.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.30558
  • Mean of criterion
    0.21358
  • SD of predictor
    0.14075
  • SD of criterion
    0.31297
  • Covariance
    0.02216
  • r
    0.50313
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.11877
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.12829
  • Mean Square Error
    0.07355
  • DF error
    185.00000
  • t(b)
    7.91852
  • p(b)
    0.19378
  • t(a)
    -0.39609
  • p(a)
    0.51853
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.84003
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.39751
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.76732
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.51073
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.19090
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.12829
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.03051
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03829
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01324
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02603
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    187.00000
  • Minimum
    0.93948
  • Quartile 1
    0.99234
  • Median
    1.00127
  • Quartile 3
    1.00770
  • Maximum
    1.11369
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97907
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99748
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00454
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.02341
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01536
  • Number outliers low
    9.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.04813
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.96127
  • Number of outliers high
    10.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.05348
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.05044
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.04997
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01873
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.02498
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.22774
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01970
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02466
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    4.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00667
  • Quartile 1
    0.00983
  • Median
    0.01819
  • Quartile 3
    0.09494
  • Maximum
    0.30325
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00667
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01088
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.02551
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.30325
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.08512
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.25000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.30325
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.26355
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.27314
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    0.90072
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.90072
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    7.13342
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.27388
  • SD
    0.28104
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.97453
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.96890
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    0.68910
  • p
    0.46984
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.80162
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.74706
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.80541
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.74320
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.39764
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.46345
  • Upside part of mean
    1.85447
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.58059
  • Upside SD
    0.20067
  • Downside SD
    0.19596
  • N nonnegative terms
    74.00000
  • N negative terms
    57.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.22439
  • Mean of criterion
    0.27388
  • SD of predictor
    0.13514
  • SD of criterion
    0.28104
  • Covariance
    0.02267
  • r
    0.59680
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.24109
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.00461
  • Mean Square Error
    0.05125
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    8.44774
  • p(b)
    0.14401
  • t(a)
    -0.01432
  • p(a)
    0.50080
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.95042
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.53176
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.64137
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.63216
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.22068
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.00461
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.23451
  • SD
    0.28130
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.83367
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.82885
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    0.58949
  • p
    0.47418
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.94156
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.60576
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.94479
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.60248
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.17846
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.21896
  • Upside part of mean
    1.83452
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.60001
  • Upside SD
    0.19782
  • Downside SD
    0.19899
  • N nonnegative terms
    74.00000
  • N negative terms
    57.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.21520
  • Mean of criterion
    0.23451
  • SD of predictor
    0.13533
  • SD of criterion
    0.28130
  • Covariance
    0.02282
  • r
    0.59945
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.24606
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.03365
  • Mean Square Error
    0.05109
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    8.50626
  • p(b)
    0.14266
  • t(a)
    -0.10476
  • p(a)
    0.50587
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.03100
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.95623
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.53589
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.66914
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.60184
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.18820
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.03365
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02731
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03433
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01275
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02520
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.94942
  • Quartile 1
    0.99289
  • Median
    1.00277
  • Quartile 3
    1.01027
  • Maximum
    1.05003
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97864
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99813
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00586
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.02213
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01738
  • Number outliers low
    6.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.04580
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.96273
  • Number of outliers high
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.02290
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.04193
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.34402
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01914
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.02326
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.65137
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.02047
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02324
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    6.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00137
  • Quartile 1
    0.02770
  • Median
    0.04720
  • Quartile 3
    0.07943
  • Maximum
    0.23828
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.01400
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.03089
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.06351
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.16151
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.05174
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.16667
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.23828
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.25%
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -359988000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    162
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.28041
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.30006
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    1.25927
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    1.85784
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    8.74110

Strategy Description

My strategy is based on identifying patterns with tight stops in Risk Managment.
The companies in my portfolio are carefully reviewed with an emphasis on fundamental data.

Summary Statistics

Includes fees & commissions C2 Israel
Strategy began
2024-01-04
Risk Score
Extreme
Suggested Minimum Capital
$35,000
# Trades
924
# Profitable
346
% Profitable
37.4%
Net Dividends
$813
Correlation S&P500
0.533
Sharpe Ratio
0.52
Sortino Ratio
0.82
Beta
1.27
Alpha
-0.04
Leverage
2.09 Average
4.47 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

#PERSONNAME# from #FROMWHERE#
started following started following #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.

The risk profile is set by the investment/trading style, types of assets and level of leverage. These factors place strategies into five risk levels: Low, Moderate, Medium, High, and Extreme.